More ‘Target riding’ news for the Green Party of Canada.

How about Genest earning his keep in the Montmagny By-election?

How about Genest earning his keep in the Montmagny By-election?

Every Monday, I trot off to the Hill Times website to imbibe the best political reporting in the country. This morning, I saw an intriguing article entitled: May ‘closes the door’ on a byelection run for Greens, seeking new riding . As usual, it was a little frustrating to find the balance of the article blocked, and I even, (briefly) considered ponying up for a subscription so as to get the whole story NOW. It isn’t only the Hill Times, apparently Elizabeth May has told several journalists that she is out of the running for any Federal by-elections, and is focusing on finding the best riding for herself in the next General election.

The Owen Sound SunTimes seems to think that Elizabeth is looking hard at Bruce Grey Owen Sound as a target riding. (As does the Toronto Star). It is also reported that there are still 2 other target ridings. Saanich – Gulf-Islands, (SGI), and Guelph. I had been under the impression that the decision had already been made to run in SGI, but unless Elizabeth is deliberately playing coy, these interviews seem to indicate the choice is still open. Two of these ridings are pretty serious Conservative strongholds. BGOS, and SGI. There is only one way to win in either of them. That is to campaign with the message that targets the Conservatives. Please read this post I wrote in January for a nice and simple explanation. Guelph is the obvious target though. The big caveat is that the Campaign Committee needs to actually discuss this with the Guelph EDA, and see if there is enough support for Elizabeth with the local membership. There were some very upset people in Guelph last fall, but maybe they’ve gotten over their ‘mad’ enough to give a leaders campaign a whirl?

 In the same article, the Suntimes report that CCMV has been discarded, because the by-election hasn’t been called yet. Since no by-elections have been called anywhere, I think that means that Elizabeth isn’t prepared to take the risk of declaring for any by-election, and then having the rug yanked out from under her if a general election super-cedes the by-election. I can understand why. She has to win in her next trip to the polls, and while a by-election  is the best opportunity, the ridings available aren’t very good candidates for her in a General election.

 The problem of course is that Elizabeth very publicly, and frequently promised to run in the first possible by-election, so now she has to find a graceful way to back down from that commitment. In my estimation, she will have to eat a wee nibble of humble pie, and back down. It will help a lot if she were able to make a grand announcement of a couple spare deputy leaders decisions to run in Quebec, and BC by-elections. Who to get for CCMV I don’t have a clue. Better get cracking though, the by-elections will be happening this fall, and the GPC cannot afford to lose any ground in the event the general election doesn’t happen this fall.

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6 Responses

  1. Hot off the press.

    It SEEMS she has made it official that it is Saanich-GulfIslands.
    http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Greens+target+their+first+Commons+seat/1880682/story.html

    With May, it would be “announced” [more or less: she’s moving to SGI] in a shmooze interview.
    But who knows, this may yet get contradicted.

  2. The only reason I still write about Elizabeth’s musings in the media, is because they make interesting, if highly speculative fodder for blogging. More often than not, these speculations are matched by either a climb down, or quietly forgotten. I still think that SGI will be ‘the one’, but Elizabeth will want to announce with all the bells and whistles. That’s what she should do too. This interview was premature, but I doubt that it was deliberate. I would guess that Elizabeth speculated out loud, and then glossed over her error thinking that she might build some speculative buzz in the press. But really, who knows what EMay thinks?

  3. […] it was addressed during and following the election, Guelph may not be the right place for May. As BlueGreenBlogger notes, the right people in the GPC need “to actually discuss this with the Guelph EDA, and […]

  4. What may bother people most about the article Ken brings up is this statement:

    “Earlier this summer, she says, Liberal party president Alf Apps asked her to run for his party. May declined but told him she’d happily serve as environment minister in a Liberal government.”

    Also, given that it’s pretty clear to most Greens that SGI is the riding of choice, this article will help fizzle the excitement before she “officially” states her intentions.

  5. Yes, this is kicking up a wee bit of a sh*t storm. I was a little surprised when I first read it. I have received no less than three seperate emails highlighting this quote. I’m not surprised that the Liberals asked. It’s not the first time, and it would actually be a pretty lethal blow to the GPC if she accepted. Do you think that publicly talking about it is intended as a threat to her GPC detractors?

  6. Have you ever considered adding more videos to your blog posts to keep the readers more entertained? I mean I just read through the entire article of yours and it was quite good but since I’m more of a visual learner,I found that to be more helpful well let me know how it turns out. This is good…thanks for sharing

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