Green Party of Canada: Get Ready for the Coming Federal Election.

Storming Harpers Bastille

Storming Harpers Bastille

The past 6 months have been, to put it mildly, an interesting time in Canadian Federal politics. The landscape has changed so very dramatically with the rise in fortunes of the Liberals mirrored by the

So That's where Jack Layton went.

So That's where Jack Layton went.

decline in Conservative grassroots power, and the virtual collapse of NDP prospects. I won’t get into a blow by blow. I will confine further comments on the root causes of all these to the two following statements: The Conservatives have blown both their feet off with bad behaviour, and what could be characterised as a betrayal of their fiscal

Liberal Leadership 'process'

Liberal Leadership 'process'

identity. The Liberals have seized the moment with the elevation of Ignatieff, and a halting revitalisation of their own grassroots machine. As for the NDP, I frankly cannot say why they have faded into the background so quickly.

This week, my previous predictions of a strong Liberal revival have been confirmed with some expected, but nonetheless significant poll outcomes. Most recently, the Liberal resurgence in Quebec has been validated by a recent large sample poll. The National positive trend has been re-asserted over the past two weeks, and barring a few hiccups, the Liberals are on the move in a big way. This weekend, the Liberal Party will pick up tons of press coverage, and spin doctors like Warren Kinsella will work their dark arts to convert this into as many as 3-4% point increase in Liberal support levels across the country. That will be strong Liberal minority territory.

If you do the electoral math, the Liberals cannot force an election without the support of the Bloc. The Bloc will be torn between the threat to their fortunes posed by the Liberals, and the opportunity to lock in their current levels of support engendered by the total collapse of Conservative support in Quebec. If The Bloc fails to support a Liberal no-confidence motion, it will almost certainly be construed by Quebecker’s, (with a little help from Kinsella), as a treacherous and selfish measure to preserve the rule of the detested Conservatives. The Bloc has no real upside potential from a delayed election, and the downside risks are real. The rational move for the Bloc will be to support a no-confidence motion, and help trigger a summer, or early fall election. Please note that the Bloc has already anticipated this scenario, and is by far the best prepared of all federal Party’s with nominations in full swing.

What does all this mean for the Green Party? It means get into election mode. It needn’t be too onerous, unless you have serious plans for your EDA. If you don’t yet have a candidate, then it is time to start locating past and future municipal candidates, and recruiting them to the Green Party. If you do have a candidate in mind, then it is still time to put our feelers to local non-aligned community figures. Get in touch with ethnic, and religious leaders, and ask them for support, and endorsements, or at least start a dialogue asking them what they want to see happen. Prepare your lists and data from the last elections. Call a cocktail Party for your local friends, supporters, and members. If the weather is good this weekend where you are, host an impromptu Barbeque, and start getting the war chest topped up with membership renewals. Keep it fun, but remember that tomorrows Liberal love fest will have everybody thinking politics again. A great opportunity to have fun, but still get some election preparations under way.

As far as advice for the GPC Leadership, I’m sure you’re all a-twitter about the Nova Scotia by-election prospects, but you really have to walk and chew gum at the same time. Sure, get the By-election team and planning started, but bloody well delegate it, and start getting ready for the real thing. Undoubtedly Elizabeth is pretty focused on selling her new book, but at least try to function independently, and prepare for the upcoming election. Review this post, and start figuring out your message. For God’s sake, eliminate the foaming at the mouth hyperbole. If you think that the Conservatives devour babies, and are in league with Lucifer, then plan to actually clobber them by emulating their succesful ideas, as I explained in this previous post. Read ‘Harper’s Team’, or at least read my synopsis of lessons for the GPC.  Start sourcing subcontractors for direct voter contact. Even better, hire a Call Centre Professional to set up in-house capabilities. Polish up the GRIMES voter contact database, as suggested in my previous post. Prepare your’ list of target ridings. You may want to start with my list posted on here, or make your’ own by all means. Just make sure you have a purpose, and something to focus your planning on. Don’t over-complexify things. Define your objectives. Map the path to get there. Detail your plan, and secure the resources to acheive it all. Let the Party know what the plan is, so that everybody can plan their own campaigns with a basic idea of the resources that they can count on. Communicate clearly, and don’t fly off on ad hoc tangents.

Good luck to all, and don’t forget, plan to retain your data, and make sure you are stronger when it’s over than you were when it started. You might be three years away from the next election, so don’t waste this opportunity.

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5 Responses

  1. […] bluegreenblogger created an interesting post today on Green Party of Canada: Get Ready for the Coming Federal Election …Here’s a short outlineThis weekend, the Liberal Party will pick up tons of press coverage, and spin doctors like Warren Kinsella will work their dark arts to convert this into as many as 3-4% point increase in Liberal support levels across the country. … […]

  2. 1) If Harper uses the stimulus agenda to drive dumptrucks of cash into QC – as he did right after being elected – then I’m sure the BQ supporters will feel that the status quo is working just fine.

    2) Harper needs to screw up badly before Ignatieff has an excuse to call an election. The same polls you quote show that Harper has a good approval rating, and the voters are dead set against an election anytime soon. You can’t run a winning campaign with the petulant slogan “It’s MY turn to drive!”

    3) Your advice to the GPC is uniformly excellent. But pointless. I’m sure you know already that the only people who would have been able to implement this advice – the experienced, competent people – have, like Elvis, Left the Building.

    The Liberals fought the 2008 election in a half-hearted way, knowing that they were screwed. But they COULD use it to get rid of Dion and move on to the rebuilding right afterwards. Now that’s a plan.

    • Hi John,

      1) I’m dead certain the Harper will do ANYTHING to avoid a defeat in the house, but a busload of $$ to Quebec today would see the knives come out in Alberta. Those dinosaurs in his own party hate Quebecois even more than they hate Charles Darwin! I honestly think his days are numbered. If he wants to be the one leading in the next election, he cannot be seen in any ways or respect as ‘In bed with’ the ‘treasonous, seperatists.’ Sooner rather than later is my expectation.

      2) Ignatieff has plenty of talent on call to invent a heinous act. Kinsella’s Ottawa War Room probably has half a dozen on tap at any given moment, just waiting for the chance to strike.

      3) My advice is to anybody in, or out of the GPC who wants to heed it. ‘Leaderships come and go, but the Party is eternal’, could be my motto. So long as the EDA’s continue to build their skills, lists, and support base, things will be good. I know that many outside the current leadership are reading, and paying attention. Since they will make up our future election teams, my advice will have an impact. It also gives many inexperienced Greens a yardstick, (Metre-stick?) to judge the campaign efforts of the Leadership by. If they notice that none of this stuff is being done, then they can demand better, and eventually receive it. At least my readers will be able to recognise a big screw-up when they smell it.

  3. […] fellow Green blogger wrote that “The Conservatives have blown both their feet off with bad behaviour, and what could be […]

  4. Seeing the Cap and Trade Environmental Tax Bill That they passed through the House of Congress in the USA is enough to turn me off to any Green Party Solutions!
    However, as Canadians we need to watch out for the Two Party Right or Left Wing = Same Results Trick the Elitist’s pulled off in the USA on their last election in able to get Marxist President Barack Obama into power as he is sympathetic to the Federal Reserve and the elitist Off-Shore bankers, Having Obama as President, is equivalent to having a fox at the hen house door! Here then is a simple version of how the NWO take over your Government:
    Two Party Paradyne Elitist Bilderberg Trick

    The Elitists hone two candidates in their employ and train one to be a Left wing Candidate say a Liberal or Democrat and take the other and hone him or her to be a Right wing candidate say a Conservative or Republican! Via the elitists scientific study of mind control methods and psychology these two candidates are trained to do the right moves at the right time in order to be elected in various countries wherby they can arrange financial benefits and various controls of these countries for the financial and power gain of the Elitists!

    Let’s say the elitist boss in this example is named is David from the Bilderberg group! And the Left wing candidate is Obooba the Liberal or Democrat and the Right wing candidate is Sarah the Conservative or Republican!

    Now because the elite are the wealthiest on earth they have lots of Corporate Lobbying power, money power and they are able to supremely promote and and create great PR and convincing extraordinary Press Kits and these two candidates are now able to gather much credibility among the voters and are manipulated by David and the elitist organizations to become the Dominant candidates for the election!

    Now David the Elitist boss really doesn’t care who wins between these two as both candidates have been honed to perfection to be able to produce results for all the Elitists and Bilderberg Group and David their Puppet Master!

    Now these two candidates can come out on the scene in an election competition and impress their voters!

    So if Liberal – Democrat Obooba gets voted in as Prime Minister or President depending on the country, he will provide and perform nicely first and foremost for David and the Elitists! In spite of the oath he has taken to perform to the best of his ability for his country!

    Should Sarah Conservative – Republican get elected as President or Prime Minister depending on the country, she will provide and perform nicely first and foremost for David and the Elitists, despite the oath she has taken to perform for her country!

    In this scenario regardless of which way the election goes – the Elitists win!

    The head of the Elitists may not always be from The Bilderberg Group, they could also be from one of these affiliate organizations: Council on Foreign Relations ( CFR ), Trilateral Commission ( TC ), Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund ( IMF ),

    World Health Organization ( WHO ), United Nations

    This explains the basic procedure for the Left Right Wing Paradyne Election game very basically so that it is easy to understand what is happening!

    The Illuminatti play this game of divide and conquer in most of their ploys!

    Eg; man against woman, Black against White, Israel against Iran, England against Germany, Gay against Straight, Palestinian against Jewish etc. Throughout almost the last 100 years the Elitists have been manipulating these problems and wars around the world for their financial gain and power! They love to keep people divided and enemies as this all goes toward the Elitists benefit – if people won’t join together to help one another the Illuminatti Elitists will always be able to defeat the citizens of the world!
    Paul Revere and Friend Btok

    Here then is a teaching scenario of what to look out for so it doesn’t happen in Canada:

    Two Party Paradyne Elitist Bilderberg Trick

    The Elitists hone two candidates in their employ and train one to be a Left wing Candidate say a Liberal or Democrat and take the other and hone him or her to be a Right wing candidate say a Conservative or Republican! Via the elitists scientific study of mind control methods and psychology these two candidates are trained to do the right moves at the right time in order to be elected in various countries wherby they can arrange financial benefits and various controls of these countries for the financial and power gain of the Elitists!

    Let’s say the elitist boss in this example is named is David from the Bilderberg group! And the Left wing candidate is Obooba the Liberal or Democrat and the Right wing candidate is Sarah the Conservative or Republican!

    Now because the elite are the wealthiest on earth they have lots of Corporate Lobbying power, money power and they are able to supremely promote and and create great PR and convincing extraordinary Press Kits and these two candidates are now able to gather much credibility among the voters and are manipulated by David and the elitist organizations to become the Dominant candidates for the election!

    Now David the Elitist boss really doesn’t care who wins between these two as both candidates have been honed to perfection to be able to produce results for all the Elitists and Bilderberg Group and David their Puppet Master!

    Now these two candidates can come out on the scene in an election competition and impress their voters!

    So if Liberal – Democrat Obooba gets voted in as Prime Minister or President depending on the country, he will provide and perform nicely first and foremost for David and the Elitists! In spite of the oath he has taken to perform to the best of his ability for his country!

    Should Sarah Conservative – Republican get elected as President or Prime Minister depending on the country, she will provide and perform nicely first and foremost for David and the Elitists, despite the oath she has taken to perform for her country!

    In this scenario regardless of which way the election goes – the Elitists win!

    The head of the Elitists may not always be from The Bilderberg Group, they could also be from one of these affiliate organizations: Council on Foreign Relations ( CFR ), Trilateral Commission ( TC ), Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund ( IMF ),

    World Health Organization ( WHO ), United Nations

    This explains the basic procedure for the Left Right Wing Paradyne Election game very basically so that it is easy to understand what is happening!

    The Illuminatti play this game of divide and conquer in most of their ploys!

    Eg; man against woman, Black against White, Israel against Iran, England against Germany, Gay against Straight, Palestinian against Jewish etc. Throughout almost the last 100 years the Elitists have been manipulating these problems and wars around the world for their financial gain and power! They love to keep people divided and enemies as this all goes toward the Elitists benefit – if people won’t join together to help one another the Illuminatti Elitists will always be able to defeat the citizens of the world!
    Paul Revere and Friend Btok

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